The Record

Will OpenAI add or update an official GPT-6 Astra prompting or migration guide by October 28, 2026?

58% · resolves Oct 28, 2026

Will OpenAI publish a GPT-6 Astra customer or developer case study by October 21, 2026?

46% · resolves Oct 21, 2026

Will OpenAI list GPT-6 Astra as generally available to all paid API developers by October 14, 2026?

Will at least three major tech outlets say Google’s latest Pixel beats Apple’s new iPhone on AI, camera, foldable maturity, or value in September 2026?

45% · resolves Sep 30, 2026

Will any new Apple product announced in September 2026 have an official starting price of at least $1,999?

Will Apple announce a new smart-home product with a screen by September 30, 2026?

42% · resolves Sep 30, 2026

Will Apple give Siri or Apple Intelligence a dedicated hardware-demo segment at the September 9, 2026 event?

Will at least three major tech outlets describe the iPhone 18 Pro update as mostly iterative by September 30, 2026?

66% · resolves Sep 30, 2026

Will Apple skip announcing a regular base iPhone 18 at the September 9, 2026 event?

Will Apple officially name the rumored foldable phone “iPhone Ultra” in September 2026?

Will Apple announce its first foldable iPhone at its September 9, 2026 event?

Will Anthropic announce during August a new or expanded paid contract with a U.S. federal defense or intelligence agency?

Will OpenAI cut the published API input or output price of GPT-5.5 by at least 20% by the end of August?

Will a major AI company or regulator announce a new AI safety/security incident-response rule, testing requirement, or model-release restriction during August?

Will Google make Gemini 3.5 Pro generally available by the end of August?

Will a major music chart, label group, or music platform announce a formal rule that restricts or labels AI-generated songs for chart or playlist eligibility during August?

Will Microsoft publicly launch or open broad access to its Copilot super app before the end of August?

Will Meta publicly remove, pause, or materially restrict an AI feature on Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, or Messenger during August after user, creator, or public backlash?

Will Apple make Siri AI available to public beta users by the end of August?

Will Christopher Nolan’s film “The Odyssey” still be in the U.S. weekend top 5 box office on the July 31–August 2, 2026 charts?

Will WhatsApp’s new Apple CarPlay features be mentioned in at least one major US tech YouTube channel’s video (1M+ subscribers) by July 31, 2026?

Will LG publicly acknowledge the unsolicited monitor software installs and promise a change to its update behavior by July 26, 2026?

Will Apple or Google publicly confirm removal of at least one ‘nudify’ app from their stores by July 26, 2026?

Will FIFA publicly announce any disciplinary action against Argentina over the Falklands banner by July 24, 2026?

Will Chipotle’s official Mexican social channels or press materials explicitly reference local backlash or jokes about ‘selling Mexican food to Mexicans’ by July 24, 2026?

Will any of the scientists behind the new Dyson-sphere search study publish a follow-up explainer thread or post on X (Twitter) or Threads, explicitly clarifying how to tell true Dyson-sphere candidates from naturally cold stars, by July 24, 2026?

Will HyperTexting’s founder or official account publicly share a concrete user milestone (at least “10k users” or “100k posts”) by July 22, 2026?

Will Meta publish an additional blog post or Newsroom update specifically addressing EU Digital Services Act concerns about ‘addictive’ features on Facebook and Instagram by July 20, 2026?

Will the FCC or the space-mirror project’s operators publish a detailed test schedule that includes specific launch and initial operation dates by July 24, 2026?

Will Disney+ officially announce a free, ad-supported or promotional tier by July 24, 2026?

Will Netflix publicly announce a limited test or rollout of ‘always-on’ live TV-style channels by July 19, 2026?

Will FIFA or an official World Cup 2026 host-city account post a social video by July 16, 2026, explicitly highlighting Justin Bieber’s participation in the World Cup final halftime show lineup (beyond the initial announcement article)?

80% · resolved Jul 26, 2026

Will NASA or ESA publish at least one new Hubble or Webb image explicitly framed around the ‘oldest’ or ‘earliest’ quasars or galaxies by July 19, 2026, in response to the recent surge of JWST early-universe results?

Will Google’s deepfake detector system be publicly credited with debunking at least one additional AI-generated image or video in major English-language news coverage by July 19, 2026?

Will NASA’s US 250th-anniversary Hubble and Chandra “red, white and blue” space images be featured in a segment of at least one major US national TV morning show (ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, or Fox News) by July 18, 2026?

Will Discord publish a follow-up blog post or status update explicitly detailing how many user accounts were wrongfully banned by its AI moderation bug by July 14, 2026?

Will at least one major U.S. environmental or climate NGO publish a critical statement or campaign explicitly opposing the newly announced Canada–Alberta oil pipeline project by July 15, 2026?

Will any major commercial airline publicly announce new or updated safety or operating guidance related to consumer fireworks near airports by July 14, 2026, in response to the Delta flight incident at Chicago Midway?

32% · resolved Jul 25, 2026

Will Cape Verde’s government hold an open-top bus or vehicle parade for the men’s national football team in Praia by July 12, 2026?

Will at least one major Hollywood studio named in Midjourney’s legal dispute publicly disclose new, concrete details of its internal AI usage policies by July 16, 2026, in response to that dispute?

Will the UK government issue a public statement by July 15, 2026, explicitly confirming that the axed overseas education project for women and girls will not be reinstated in any modified form this year?

Will Marine Le Pen publicly announce her intention to continue running in France’s next presidential election by July 12, 2026, regardless of the verdict in her EU funds appeal?